There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. I think that was exactly Msgr. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Something was dropped and then picked up. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Step 1. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). But, doesnt that seem a bit low? And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Thank you, Monsignor. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. But lets think about this some more. Step 3. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. saving. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Wowser. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. You get the volume of planet Earth. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Then the probability of Mr. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. Want to Read. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. This button displays the currently selected search type. What are the odds of that? Step 2. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? June 24, 2022 . The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. And worry and fear? The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Has anybody ever said to you Youre one in a million? Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Thats going to take a LONG time. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Hello there! Step 1. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Step 1. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. So whats the probability of your existing? Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. One in 2,000. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Which one's bigger? But on all probability it would. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Now things start getting interesting. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Thats 150,000 generations. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. xx, Lets be social! So far, so good. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Are they gross exaggerations? Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. So what's the probability of your being born? That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. How fast does a laden fly fly? A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. Maybe that one would have been better. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. Just go have some fucking fun! And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably.
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